Job Risk Analysis
One profession at a time. Risk level, displacement horizon, what AI already does, and what human judgment still buys you. No spin. No false reassurance.
Academic researchers sit at Low risk, with a displacement horizon toward 2036. That number is not wrong, but it flatters the profession. AI is already doing the grunt work of research. What remains is judgment. The question is how long judgment stays scarce.
Account executives own the sales cycle. AI now owns much of the prospecting, sequencing, and pipeline forecasting that used to require junior AEs. The role is not disappearing in 2037. But it is already narrowing.
Accounting is one of the most rule-bound professions on earth. That used to be its protection. Now it is its primary exposure. AI automates ledger entry, reconciliation, and standard tax filings. 2028 is closer than it looks.
Actors are rated Low risk through 2050. That number protects the apex of the profession. It does not protect the working middle. Synthetic voices, AI extras, and deepfake dubbing are already restructuring the base of the industry.
